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What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', "The Black Swan" shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.
Condition: Very Good, Clean Condition
Please Note:Unless otherwise specified - Our books are sold in used, as-is, pre-owned condition and will most likely have have signs of shelf wear. This includes scratches, small tears, bends and cover creases. Books may also have other flaws such as previous owner names / notes as well as library Stamps, Stains, Price tags and or Highlighting. Mends will be made where possible to prevent further damage.
