The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable - Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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R105.00

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Condition

Secondhand

Location

South Africa

Bob Shop ID

644167859

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', "The Black Swan" shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.

ISBN: 9780141034591

Pages: 366

Paperback

Penguin Books, 2008

Acceptable condition; cover has some small creases; old spill damage to last few pages, but readability not affected

B119

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