The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable - Nassim Nicholas Taleb

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', "The Black Swan" shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.

ISBN: 9780141034591

Pages: 366

Paperback

Penguin Books, 2008

Acceptable condition; cover has some small creases; old spill damage to last few pages, but readability not affected

B119